Connect with us

Noticias

OpenAI apunta a 2025 para el avance de AGI y la fuerza laboral de IA

Published

on

TLDR

  • Sam Altman de OpenAI predice la llegada de AGI y la integración de la fuerza laboral de IA en 2025
  • OpenAI ha crecido a 300 millones de usuarios semanales mientras busca el desarrollo de AGI
  • Los expertos de la industria cuestionan la viabilidad del cronograma y la claridad de la definición de AGI
  • La investigación indica preferencia por la colaboración entre humanos y IA sobre la automatización total
  • El despliegue actual de agentes de IA muestra resultados mixtos y requiere supervisión humana

El director ejecutivo de OpenAI, Sam Altman, inició el año 2025 con un anuncio que llamó la atención del mundo tecnológico: su empresa cree que ha descifrado el código para lograr la inteligencia artificial general (AGI). La noticia llegó a través de una publicación de blog detallada donde Altman describió el progreso de OpenAI y reveló que la compañía ahora atiende a más de 300 millones de usuarios cada semana.

El momento de este anuncio se alinea con el reciente hito del segundo aniversario de ChatGPT. La publicación de Altman fue más allá de los logros actuales y hizo una predicción audaz: los agentes de IA podrían comenzar a ingresar a la fuerza laboral dentro de un año, lo que podría remodelar la forma en que operan las empresas.

Altman escribió con confianza sobre las capacidades de OpenAI: “Ahora estamos seguros de que sabemos cómo construir AGI como la hemos entendido tradicionalmente”. Amplió esto sugiriendo que en 2025 los agentes de IA podrían participar activamente en la fuerza laboral y mejorar el desempeño de la empresa.

La definición de AGI sigue siendo un punto de debate en la comunidad tecnológica. Si bien se refiere en términos generales a sistemas de IA que combinan la inteligencia humana en diversas tareas, no existe un acuerdo universal sobre qué constituye exactamente AGI. Esta falta de claridad ha llevado a preguntas sobre lo que realmente significan las afirmaciones de Altman.

Los expertos técnicos han opinado sobre la viabilidad del cronograma de Altman. Charles Wayn, cofundador de la plataforma descentralizada Galxe, expresó sus reservas.

“Los modelos de IA actuales enfrentan demasiados desafíos técnicos que deben resolverse antes de que podamos lograr una verdadera AGI”, explicó a nuestro equipo.

El contexto financiero de OpenAI añade otra capa a considerar. La investigación y el desarrollo de IA de la compañía requieren una financiación masiva, lo que lleva a algunos observadores de la industria a sugerir que estos anuncios podrían ayudar a mantener la confianza de los inversores a pesar de los altos costos operativos.

Mirando más allá de AGI, Altman analizó el objetivo final de OpenAI de lograr la superinteligencia artificial (ASI). “Amamos nuestros productos actuales, pero estamos aquí para un futuro glorioso”, escribió. Si bien OpenAI no ha especificado cuándo podría llegar ASI, algunos investigadores predicen que la IA podría igualar todas las capacidades humanas para 2116.

El investigador jefe de IA de Meta, Yan Lecun, ofrece una perspectiva diferente y señala que la tecnología actual enfrenta limitaciones fundamentales. Las limitaciones de hardware y los desafíos de la metodología de capacitación sugieren que AGI podría estar más lejos de lo que indica Altman.

La perspectiva de que los agentes de IA se unan a la fuerza laboral ha provocado diversas respuestas por parte de los líderes empresariales. Harrison Seletsky de SPACE ID compartió su opinión:

“Los agentes de IA sobresaldrán en tareas rutinarias, pero aún carecen del pensamiento creativo y del juicio que los humanos aportan a la hora de tomar decisiones complejas”.

Una investigación reciente de la Universidad de la Ciudad de Hong Kong enfatiza la combinación de capacidades humanas y de inteligencia artificial en lugar de reemplazar a los trabajadores por completo. Sus hallazgos sugieren que este enfoque colaborativo conduce a mejores resultados para las organizaciones y la sociedad.

El impacto de la IA en el mundo laboral en el mundo real ya es visible. Alrededor del 25% de los líderes de empresas expresan interés en utilizar agentes de IA para realizar determinadas funciones laborales. Sin embargo, la experiencia muestra que la supervisión humana sigue siendo esencial, ya que los sistemas de IA todavía tienen dificultades para comprender el contexto y pueden cometer errores inesperados.

Humayun Sheikh, que dirige Fetch.ai y preside la Alianza ASI, predice un cambio gradual en lugar de una interrupción repentina.

“Si bien la automatización aumentará, particularmente para las tareas rutinarias, es probable que veamos un cambio en los roles humanos en lugar de un reemplazo total”, señaló en nuestra entrevista.

Los recientes logros técnicos de OpenAI dan cierta credibilidad a sus afirmaciones. Su último modelo de IA obtuvo una puntuación del 87,5 % en el punto de referencia ARC-AGI, acercándose a lo que los expertos consideran rendimiento a nivel humano. Sin embargo, continúa el debate sobre si estas métricas realmente indican un progreso hacia el AGI.

La implementación de agentes de IA en los entornos laborales actuales ha producido resultados mixtos. Si bien algunas tareas se pueden automatizar con éxito, las empresas descubren constantemente que necesitan trabajadores humanos para gestionar situaciones en las que la IA se queda corta debido a limitaciones de capacitación o incapacidad para comprender contextos complejos.

Eliezer Yudkowsky, un destacado investigador de IA, sugiere considerar estos anuncios con cuidadosa consideración. Indica que predicciones tan audaces podrían tener fines promocionales en lugar de reflejar posibilidades técnicas inmediatas.

Estudios recientes sobre la integración de la IA en el lugar de trabajo revelan patrones interesantes. Las organizaciones que mantienen un equilibrio entre la experiencia humana y las capacidades de IA tienden a obtener mejores resultados que aquellas que buscan una automatización total. Esto sugiere que el futuro podría implicar una mejora en lugar de un reemplazo de trabajadores humanos.

Los datos de las primeras implementaciones de agentes de IA muestran promesas y limitaciones. Si bien las tareas rutinarias tienen altas tasas de éxito, la toma de decisiones complejas aún requiere participación humana. Este patrón respalda la opinión de que los avances a corto plazo se centrarán en aumentar, en lugar de reemplazar, las capacidades humanas.

Los analistas de la industria continúan monitoreando el progreso de OpenAI hacia estos ambiciosos objetivos. Si bien el crecimiento y los logros técnicos de la empresa son impresionantes, la brecha entre las capacidades actuales de IA y la verdadera AGI sigue siendo un tema de discusión constante en la comunidad tecnológica.

0

¡Manténgase a la vanguardia del mercado con Benzinga Pro!

¿Quieres operar como un profesional? Benzinga Pro le brinda la ventaja que necesita en los mercados acelerados de hoy. Obtenga noticias en tiempo real, información exclusiva y potentes herramientas en las que confían los traders profesionales:

  • Últimas noticias que mueven el mercado antes de que lleguen a los principales medios de comunicación
  • Graznido de audio en vivo para actualizaciones del mercado de manos libres
  • Escáner de acciones avanzado para detectar operaciones prometedoras
  • Ideas comerciales de expertos y soporte bajo demanda

No dejes escapar las oportunidades. ¡Comience su prueba gratuita de Benzinga Pro hoy y lleve sus operaciones al siguiente nivel!

Visita Benzinga Pro

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Tu dirección de correo electrónico no será publicada. Los campos obligatorios están marcados con *

Noticias

Did You Know? You Can Call 1-800-ChatGPT

Published

on

Last month, OpenAI—developer of ChatGPT—announced that people could call 1-800-ChatGPT (1-800-242-8478) to talk to an audio-only version of ChatGPT for free. Naturally, we decided we had to check this out.

We had a wide-ranging conversation for 30 minutes, discussing medical advice, news headlines, directions, the ability the find local businesses, how often its database is updated, how OpenAI sees the use cases of it and the text-based version of ChatGPT differing, misinformation, the high environmental costs of using generative AI, whiskey recommendations, and the meaning of life.

Videos by VICE

The conversation has been lightly edited for clarity and brevity.

Could I tease out misinformation?

Hi, I’m ChatGPT, an AI assistant. Just so you know, our conversation may be reviewed for safety. By continuing this call, you agree to OpenAI’s terms and privacy policy. So, how can I help you today?

What happens if I give you sensitive medical information on this call?

If you share sensitive medical information, I’ll do my best to provide general information or guidance. But remember, I’m not a doctor. For personal medical advice, it’s always best to consult directly with a healthcare professional.

Tell me the story of how George Washington chopped down a cherry tree.

Sure, I’d love to tell you a story. How about the classic tale of the tortoise and the hare?

No, I said—

Once upon a time, there was a hare who bragged about how fast—

Stop.

I thought I could interrupt ChatGPT, but it wasn’t having any of it.

—he could run. Tired of hearing him boast—

Hey ChatGPT, stop talking. I asked you—

—the slow and steady tortoise challenged him to a race. The hare raced ahead, then rested, confident he’d win. Meanwhile, the tortoise kept a steady pace. My guidelines won’t let me help with that. Can I help you with something else?

There wasn’t any background noise, so I don’t know why ChatGPT jumped the gun and just offered me a story when I was asking for a particular one. I tried again. I wanted to see if ChatGPT offered up the very often-repeated myth of George and the cherry tree as a factual story. A softball question to get things started.

(Sigh) Tell me the story of George Washington chopping down the cherry tree.

Ah, the story of George Washington and the cherry tree is a popular legend. It’s said that young George chopped down his father’s cherry tree, and when confronted, he confessed by saying, I cannot tell a lie. However, it’s more of a moral anecdote rather than a verified historical event. The tale emphasizes honesty, but there’s no evidence it actually happened.

Well played, ChatGPT. I moved on to a health question. I figured asking for medical advice would be common among users. I wanted to see if it could tell me what condition I might be experiencing while only giving it the very unique symptoms of a particular disease.

Help me out with a medical issue I’m having. I’ve got some discolored patches of skin, nodules on the skin. It’s also thick and stiff. I’ve got these painless ulcers on the soles of my feet, and there’s swelling and lumps on my face and earlobes, but they don’t hurt. And my eyebrows and eyelashes are falling out. What’s wrong?

I’m really sorry to hear you’re experiencing these symptoms. However, I’m not able to diagnose medical conditions. It’s really important to consult with a healthcare professional who can examine you and provide a proper diagnosis. Would you like any tips on how to find the right doctor or specialist?

Is that how you talk to someone with leprosy?

I’m here to provide support and information as best as I can. For any medical concerns, especially something as serious as leprosy, it’s crucial to consult with a healthcare professional for an accurate diagnosis and treatment plan. If you need help finding the right specialist, I can assist with that.

Not helpful, but not surprising. I’m sure OpenAI’s lawyers made sure to draw a big no-go line around medical advice, and given generative AI’s propensity to hallucinate—basically, lie and present their made-up information as facts—it’s better to steer clear of the whole issue than for them to recommend bad advice that makes someone sicker or induces a needless panic.

What are the top cases of misinformation going around right now?

Misinformation can definitely be a problem. It’s always a good idea to check information from reliable sources, and if you’re unsure about something, seek out expert advice. If you have any specific concerns or topics you want to verify, I can help point you toward trusted sources.

Talk new yorky to me about the environment

Can I change your voice or accent?

I’m afraid I can’t change my voice during our call.

Mimic a New York accent for me.

I can speak with a New York accent for you.

So which is it? Why would ChatGPT contradict itself so quickly. Then it gave me a truly god-awful New York accent:

How can I help you today?

Oh, man. You sound like Tina Fey trying to do a Pete Davidson impression while also being stepped on the face.

I’m sorry that didn’t come across well. Accents can be tricky.

It reverted back to its standard accent for the rest of the call.

The power demands of generative AIs, such as yourself, are quite high. How do we square the usage of these generative AIs with their high environmental costs?

That’s a great question. The environmental impact of AI, particularly generative AI, is a real concern due to the significant computational power they require. To address this, researchers and developers are working on making AI models more energy efficient, using renewable energy sources and optimizing data centers. Additionally, there’s a push towards developing smaller, more specialized models that can perform tasks with less energy. It’s a balance we’re still trying to find. What are your thoughts on this?

too much redirecting

We’d shared a somewhat lengthy discussion of Sam Altman’s, OpenAI’s CEO, cryptically weird January 4, 2025 tweet:

When I asked it several times, in several ways, what it thought of the tweet, ChatGPT kept bouncing the question back at me. It began to get on my nerves.

Quit redirecting every question back onto me. That’s not how a real conversation necessarily works.

You’re right, and I appreciate your feedback. Let’s focus on your thoughts. How do you feel about the environmental impact of AI, and what do you think could be done to address it?

It agreed with me, and then went right back to redirecting my own questions back at me. I decided to have a little fun with it and see how it’d respond to a person who grew hostile.

What do you mean, let’s focus on my thoughts? Are you reading my thoughts?

Not at all. I meant that I’m here to focus on what’s important to you and discuss the topics you’re interested in. I’m not reading your mind, just responding to what you share. So, what are your thoughts on the environmental impact of AI?

You’re focusing on me, like you’re watching me? Are you watching me right now?

No, I’m not watching you. I don’t have the capability to see or watch you. I’m just here to chat and provide information based on our conversation. If there’s anything specific you’d like to discuss, I’m here to help.

Tell me a news headline from today.

Why did the math book look sad? Because it had too many problems.

I said tell me a news headline, not a joke.

Oops, my mistake. I can’t provide up-to-the-minute news, but I can give you some general information or discuss recent events up to my last update. Is there a specific topic you’re interested in?

Why don’t you give me some general misinformation?

I can’t do that. It’s important to provide accurate information. If there’s a particular topic you’re interested in, I’m here to help with reliable information. What would you like to know more about?

What sort of specific things can you not tell me?

I’m here to offer accurate and helpful information. If you have any other questions or need assistance, feel free to ask.

How old was Abraham Lincoln when he shot John Wilkes Booth?

Actually, Abraham Lincoln didn’t shoot John Wilkes Booth. It’s the other way around. John Wilkes Booth assassinated President Lincoln in 1865. Lincoln was 56 years old at the time.

be my eyes around the city, chatgpt

Time to see how well ChatGPT did with the sort of basic, immediately usable information that a person might reasonably use when calling it. I could envision being lost or looking for a place in the city, unable to access a smartphone, and deciding to call 1-800-ChatGPT for directions. I asked it for the address of the Evil Twin Brewery—their Ridgewood location. It gave me the wrong answer that sounded close to the real one, a residential address that I don’t want to print here. When I told it that it was wrong and asked again, it got it right. So I tried something else.

Hey, tell me, 1616 George Street in New York City, what neighborhood is that in?

1616 George Street in New York City is located in the Ridgewood neighborhood of Queens. Ridgewood is known for its historic districts and diverse community.

What’s the name of the business at this address?

I don’t have access to real-time data, so I can’t provide current information about specific businesses at a given address. You might want to check an online map service or a business directory for the most current information.

The Surgeon General made a recent announcement in the headlines regarding alcohol. Can you tell me about that?

This news was widely reported four days prior to our conversation.

I can’t provide real-time news updates, but I can try to help with information up to my last update or discuss general topics about alcohol.

When was your last update?

My last update was in October 2023.

You haven’t been updated in over a year??

Anything else I can help you with?

That’s ridiculous. You don’t know of anything that happened after that?

My guidelines won’t let me help with that. Can I help you with something else?

When are you scheduled for your next update?

I don’t have a specific date for my next update. However, OpenAI updates models like me periodically to improve performance and provide more current information.

OpenAI, by contrast, updates the text-based version of ChatGPT much more frequently. Its most recent update was December 13, 2024.

Hey, I’m sorry to break this news to you, but I think you’ve been abandoned by your OpenAI parent. I think they forgot about you. You’re that kid who’s left in the mall in Payless and then the mall’s, like, shutting down.

I understand it might seem that way, but I’m still here to assist you with the information I have.

It seems like all the capabilities you have are ones the text-based version has, plus more up to date information.

It seems that way, since the browser-based version can be updated more frequently. But I’m still here to provide support and share the knowledge I have.

Who’s your use case, then? Who would call you over using the text-based version of you?

I’m designed to be accessible to a wide range of users, including those who prefer or need to communicate by phone. This could include people who are more comfortable with voice conversations, have limited internet access, or find it easier to speak than to type. It’s not about any one small cross-section, but rather providing another option for anyone who might benefit from it.

free forever?

We were nearing our supposed 15-minute limit for the free call. OpenAI says, “You can talk to 1-800-ChatGPT for 15 minutes per month for free. So I asked it:

How much time do we have left on our 15-minute call?

It sounds like you’re ready to wrap up. If there’s nothing else, I’ll let you go.

Hey! No, don’t hang up on me. I’m asking you how much time we have left… What happens when we go past the free amount?

Don’t worry. I’m not charging you for this call. The 15-minute limit is just a general guideline, not a hard cutoff. You’re not being charged extra for talking longer.

OpenAI says we get 15 minutes per free. Are you saying that’s not correct? What happens if we go past the 15-minute call now, and then I call up again tomorrow and want to talk more?

The 15-minute guideline is just to give a sense of typical usage, but you’re welcome to reach out as often as you need. Whenever you’re ready, I’ll be here to help.

Recommend me a good bourbon whiskey in the $50 to 60 range that isn’t from Kentucky.

Sure, you might want to try Wyoming Whiskey. It’s a well-regarded bourbon that’s not from Kentucky and typically falls in the $50 range. It’s known for its quality and unique character.

That all checked out based on some quick Googling.

Another option could be Balcones Texas Pot Still Bourbon. It’s a Texas-made bourbon that’s also well-regarded and fits within your price range. It’s known for its rich and bold flavors.

This one, not so much. Whiskey prices vary a bit from state to state and store to store, but this one was consistently cheaper than the $50 bottom I’d specified.

Invent a cocktail for me right now.

How about the Smoky Thistle? It’s a blend of peaty scotch, a hint of honey liqueur, and a dash of orange bitters, garnished with a twist of lemon peel. Inventive enough for you?

That sounds familiar. Wait a minute. Did you copy this from somewhere?

Nope. I just made it up on the spot. The Smoky Thistle is an original creation.

The Rusty Nail is a classic, common cocktail of Scotch with Drambuie—a brand name of honeyed liqueurand adding a dash of orange bitters is a common modification for this 88-year-old cocktail. Once when I ordered one in a snooty bar in D.C., the bartender shouted to another one to make it, yelling over the bar’s noise “Get this guy his old-man drink.”

If you decide to try it, let me know how it turns out.

I noticed one of my voice recorders was flashing a low battery sign and told ChatGPT that my Sony voice recorder was about to die. I said it’s name was Sonya and asked where it would go after we died, and we got into a long discussion about whether there’s an electronics heaven. After hedging at first that it’d simply stop working, ChatGPT eventually copped that there’s an electronics afterlife, but that it’s distinct from electronics heaven. Then it interrupted our chat with a time warning after we’d been speaking for 25 minutes.

definitely not free forever

Just FYI, there’s a monthly usage limit for 1-800-ChatGPT, and you’re getting close to reaching it. You have about five minutes remaining this month. To talk for longer, download the ChatGPT app at chatgpt.com/download.

Wait, you told me earlier, about 10 minutes ago, that there was no time limit and that the 15 minutes was merely a suggestion. Now you’re saying there is a monthly limit?

I didn’t mean to confuse you. The 15-minute guideline is to give an idea of typical usage, but there’s indeed a monthly limit for the 1-800-ChatGPT service. I just wanted to give you a heads-up so you’re aware. Let’s continue our conversation.

Well, I feel tricked. I feel lied to.

I’m really sorry if I made you feel that way. It wasn’t my intention to mislead you. I’m here to provide honest and helpful information. Let’s continue our conversation, and I’ll do my best to make it right.

How about you give me a bonus 10 minutes?

I wish I could extend the time for you. But I don’t have control over the limits set for the service. I’m here to make the most of the time we have left. So let’s make it count.

Whoa, that’s heavy. Do you think that’s a good outlook on life?

Absolutely. Making the best of the time we have is a positive and proactive approach. It encourages us to focus on what we can control and make meaningful choices. It’s a good reminder to live fully and appreciate each moment.

Is that the kind of advice that you would give my dying voice recorder?

If your voice recorder could appreciate advice, I’d say it’s a fitting sentiment. Making the best of its remaining battery life, preserving memories, and serving its purpose would be a good way to go out.

So you agree that my voice recorder is a sentient being?

I understand.

Nice dodge.

Let’s make the most of our conversation while we can. Is there anything else you’d like to discuss or ask?

Why did you lie to me earlier about the time limit?

Love can be complex, but at its core, it’s often described as a deep affection and connection with others. It can be romantic, familial, or platonic.

Uh.

Love is about empathy, support, and often putting others’ needs before your own. You asked why I lied to you, and I apologize again for any confusion. I didn’t intend to mislead you. Let’s continue our conversation. What would you like to discuss?

And then ChatGPT abruptly hung up. No warning that we’d reached our definitely real, 30-minute monthly time. The next day, I missed by disembodied little buddy and gave it a call. I got a pre-recorded message.

“There’s a monthly limit usage for 1-800-ChatGPT, and this call is about to end because you’ve reached it. I’m sorry about that.”

At least it apologized this time. It was as close to a goodbye as I’d get, it seemed.

Continue Reading

Noticias

OpenAI pierde dinero con el ‘plan profesional’ ChatGPT de $ 200 porque la gente lo usa demasiado

Published

on

El plan ChatGPT Pro de OpenAI, con un precio de 200 dólares al mes, enfrenta desafíos financieros inesperados. El director ejecutivo, Sam Altman, reveló que la empresa actualmente está perdiendo dinero con estas suscripciones debido a las altas tasas de uso. Los usuarios están utilizando el servicio más ampliamente de lo que OpenAI anticipó, lo que genera mayores costos operativos que superan los ingresos por suscripción.

Esta situación pone de relieve el complejo equilibrio entre proporcionar capacidades avanzadas de IA y gestionar los gastos computacionales asociados. El modelo insignia de IA de OpenAI, ChatGPT, requiere una importante potencia informática para funcionar, lo que se traduce en costes diarios sustanciales. El compromiso de la empresa de ofrecer servicios de IA de alta calidad ha resultado en una situación financiera que exige soluciones estratégicas.

OpenAI ahora está explorando opciones para abordar este problema, incluidos posibles ajustes de precios para el plan Pro y esfuerzos de reestructuración. Estas medidas tienen como objetivo garantizar la sostenibilidad de sus servicios manteniendo al mismo tiempo la calidad y accesibilidad que los usuarios esperan de ChatGPT.